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Council of Insurance Agents and Brokers' Employee Benefits Market Survey

The rate of change in group medical premiums has for all intensive purposes remained unchanged over the last four quarters. Once again, employers with 50 employees or fewer sustained the highest increases on account renewals while large employers experienced the smallest.

According to the Fall 2008 Employee Benefits Market Survey conducted by The Council of Insurance Agents & Brokers (CIAB), 82% of respondent brokers reported an increase in small group accounts (50 or fewer lives) with greater than 50% of increases falling in the 11% – 20% range. Results were similar for medium accounts (51 to 500 lives) as 90% of respondent brokers reported rate increases with 68% seeing increases in the 6% – 15% range. Large accounts (501 of greater lives) were also not immune to premium rate increases as 75% of respondent brokers reported seeing rate increases.

On the surface it would appear that the group medical premium rate delta lines as reflected on the graph below have leveled off over the past couple of quarters with period over period rate changes being consistent. While this is true, it is important to note that employers of all sizes continue to shift costs to employees by means of higher deductibles and co-pays, by reducing the overall levels of benefits provided and by increasing the employee share of monthly base premium costs. On an apples-to-apples basis, from the employee perspective, benefit obtained per dollar of expenditure has noticeably decreased. As one respondent broker stated, "employers are starting to move to higher out-of-pocket costs in plan design to mitigate rate increases". Ken A. Crerar, President of CIAB, is quoted in the most recent Employee Benefits Market Survey saying, "most employers want to provide medical benefits to employees, but many will be forced to shift costs to them in order to continue to do that". The survey went further by stating "although dropping medical coverage altogether was seen as the last resort, 91% of [respondent] consultants said 1% – 10% of their clients were doing just that".

Brokers responding to the survey also reported an increased use of high deductible health plans (HDHP) coupled with health reimbursement accounts (HRA) or health savings accounts (HSA), as well as increased prescription drug co-pays, as means of curbing the impact of rising premium costs on employers.

The following chart illustrates annualized rate changes for the various employer group categories.

Figure 1 (click to enlarge)
Annualized Average Group Medical Rate Changes

Benefits and tradeoffs of HDHPs and HRAs / HSAs remain fairly cumbersome for the average employee to fully comprehend while employers continue to struggle with the cost / benefit analysis of implementing HDHPs as the primary option for employees. One respondent broker commented, "explaining how the coverage works; insuring that employee OOP [out-of-pocket] costs won't increase and explaining how Rx works" is a problem. Barring a major shift in factors outside the medical insurance industry, there remains little reason for insurers to collectively allow for industry wide rate reductions. Employer sponsored wellness strategies that encourage employees to get and/or stay fit and maintain a healthy lifestyle continue be evermore prevent.

Although healthcare reform is high on the agenda of President-elect Obama, health insurance premium rate changes are expected to reflect premium increases in the low to mid teens throughout the remainder of 2008 and throughout 2009 while the level of benefits achieved per premium dollar is expected to steadily decrease. Decreasing headcounts will have a negative impact on retail brokers' top lines over the next twelve to eighteen months but rate increases are expected to continue indefinitely.

As reported by the CIAB survey, group life rates, as illustrated below, experienced a slight tilt downward during the second half of 2008.

Figure 2 (click to enlarge)
Annualized Average Group Life Rate Changes

Group life insurance rate changes are expected to be mixed throughout the remainder of 2008 and well into 2009 with relatively small period over period upticks and downticks.

Source:
The Council of Insurance Agents & Brokers Employee Benefits Market Survey